Thursday, October 20, 2005

Indictments Acoming!! pt. 2

There is a buzz in Washington. If the heat gets too close to Cheney he will RESIGN! Please see www.politicalwire.com. I had an e-mail dialogue with a friend who has great political savy. See what we said.

6 Comments:

At 11:55 AM, October 20, 2005, Blogger Kris Anderson said...

However, if this is true, consider me prolific.

Possible replacements? Must be electable (not Condoleeza), moderate to conservative, scandal free and some experience with national security. I don't have many candidates. Unless, the President is thinking of his own hide and not the Party, then the logical candidate is Powell. I think he'd do it for 2 years if promised more of an influence with policy and no undue influence to run in 2008.

 
At 11:57 AM, October 20, 2005, Anonymous Anonymous said...

If Bush is going to make an appointment for political reasons (jump-start on the 08 presidency) I think his choices are limited. First, I doubt Colin Powell would: a) be considered (Bush would want a team player, CP is not on Bush's team), or b) want to work in the administration again, especially as Veep. There would also be significant pressure to run for president in 08 -- pressure General Powell would like to avoid.

This all leads to an evaluation of current presidential contenders. Keep in mind, Bush is very much into keeping the spotlight for himself; he would not want a VP with his own agenda. That's why Cheney is there in the first place. So the guy must not be ambitious, or he must be Bush part Deaux. Also, this is assuming that any presidential contender would want to be tied to the Bush admin - pissing off conservatives, moderates and swings all at the same time. I guess that goes to the Bush part Deaux idea...

McCain - off the Bush reservation. Plus, they HATE each other. This would not be a forced relationship between enemies (like Reagan/Bush in '80) but an invitation from Bush. I doubt he could stomach the thought of asking McCain for help. Plus, does McCain really want to be tied to Bush? Highly unlikely.

Giuliani - Greater possibility. He and Bush are friends, he could make SOME conservative inroads (joining the Bush admin might create illusion of conservative bona fides? Perish the thought!) and he might be convinced the White House will help his fundraising status south of the Mason-Dixon line... something he desperately needs. But, in the end, I think he would realize he is better off staying out of Washington.

Frist - Hell no. Destroyed his reputation on the Nuclear Option fiasco. Ineffective, weak, and may actually be a political liability. He is also not a viable candidate in 08, no matter how much Tennesseans want him to be.

Condi - I may disagree with you that she is unelectable. I actually could see her as a really good contrast to Hillary. But, it is probably too soon. The only way she gets in as VP right now is if Bush uses the position to reward a friend - but he may also reward Alberto Gonzalez (AG) over Condi; I hear Gonzalez is still smarting over the whole SCOTUS thing.

The list goes on, but I am guessing no real contender wants to be linked to Bush. I'll bet you start hearing rhetoric taking subtle, then progressing to more overt, shots at him in the coming months.

Of course, all of this is academic. Cheney is from Wyoming. You ever been up there? The place is a pain in the butt. In other words, Cheney is a tough guy, and I would be extremely surprised if he backed down and resigned over this (even assuming Libby is guilty, or even indicted, which I would be surprised to see). And there's no way Bush would ask him to do so. At worst, Libby takes the fall and is set up for life, Cheney sticks around and after the election moves permanently to his fishing house in Jackson Hole.

One caveat - Cheney could just tire of all this and take off anyway (citing health, of course). But I just don't think he will.

 
At 9:12 AM, October 21, 2005, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Kris,

I am curious as to why you think that Condoleezza Rice is not electable? What is your definition of electable?

I think that she is very much so. Repulicans like and respect her very much and I don't doubt that they would come out to vote for her. Were she to mount a good campaign, she could very well pick up a few democratic votes too. I don't think that she personally is interested in running for office, though.

 
At 11:09 AM, October 21, 2005, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Re: McCain

A lot of the gossip is that McCain has the administration's support for 08. He's going to be going up against Brownback, but the word is that McCain started toeing the line after getting a pledge of support. Bush et al were very worried when McCain speculated about joining Kerry (McCain has a big moderate draw), so in exchange for stepping back, he should recieve a lot of support from Bush. Not sure if Bush would appoint him, though, since Bush will probably pick someone who ran a lottery commision or a horse farm...

 
At 2:50 PM, October 21, 2005, Blogger Kris Anderson said...

CR has no base. I wrote a long reply but it got erased, I will post again soon.

 
At 6:47 PM, October 22, 2005, Anonymous Anonymous said...

At the risk of being a little to anxious here,I'll respond to the part of your argument that didn't get erased. Perhaps your argument, in its entirety, anticipated what I am about to write.


She may not have a base, but does she necessarily need one of her own? The same people who came out in support of GWB would undoubtedly come out in support of her. Besides, Powell never truly had a base of his own either.

 

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